November 17



This story has been updated.

Political people in the United States are watching the chaos in Washington in the moment. But some people in the science community are watching the chaos somewhere else — the Arctic. 

It’s polar night there now — the sun isn’t rising in much of the Arctic. That’s when the Arctic is supposed to get super-cold, when the sea ice that covers the vast Arctic Ocean is supposed to grow and thicken.

But in fall of 2016 — which has been a zany year for the region, with multiple records set for low levels of monthly sea ice — something is totally off. The Arctic is super-hot, even as a vast area of cold polar air has been displaced over Siberia....
My old English friend, John, agrees with elderly Donald Trump, blustering Boris Johnson and the youngster Sarah Palin that this type of news - alarmist warnings of Polar meltdown - is a Chinese or even an Alien plot to destabilise American industry; to depreciate Trump properties, many of which are at sea-level; and to upset Chinook of The North and other loyal Alaskans in Sarah Palin's northern territory, which  borders the Arctic sea.  John relies for his facts exclusively on the US website Armstrong Economics, which, in this Post-Truth era include predictions of a coming Mini-Ice-Age, like the period when the Thames River in London froze and supported Ice-Fairs. This next Big Freeze, they claim, will afflict all of northern Europe and North America, and will descend on us in 2032. Global Warming is a hoax - they say.
Mr. Armstrong has written his own computer models that predict economic and climate cycles. But, six hundred  climate scientists have other models, data and far more powerful computers that disagree with Armstrong. At today's 400 parts per million of carbon-dioxide in the atmosphere, science says that the Earth's average temperature will rise above the critical +2C degrees (of warming since about 1850) and cause Polar meltdown of the vast ice-mountains, 3 km high on Greenland and 5 km high on Antarctica, which will melt and raise the sea-level.
President Elect Trump's summer retreat, Mar a Largo (Sea-to-Lake), in warm, wet Florida - a beach-side property - will be beneath the surface of the ocean as the sea-level rises. As a smart business man, he should invest in snorkels.

"Florida and the Rising Sea

Note: First published in the Miami Herald
Aerial view of Mar-a-Lago, the oceanfront estate of billiona
Mar a Lago - Trump's Florida home. 4 ft above sea-level
"Florida is in the crosshairs of climate change. Rising seas, a population crowded along the coast, porous bedrock, and the relatively common occurrence of tropical storms put more real estate and people at risk from storm surges aggravated by sea level rise in Florida, than any other state by far.
Some 2.4 million people and 1.3 million homes, nearly half the risk nationwide, sit within 4 feet of the local high tide line. Sea level rise is more than doubling the risk of a storm surge at this level in South Florida by 2030. For the hundreds of thousands of Floridians holding 30-year mortgages, that date is not far off in the future."